January - March 2010 articles archive home
Unable to predict crises, we may yet see them as they occur.
Hendryís methodology has already produced something worth having; the ability to spot structural breaks as they occur. So that while we still canít predict when the world will change, at least his computer-automated techniques can spot a change as soon as it happens.
Wednesday, March 31, 2010 ... more
There are those who lack faith in the wisdom of crowds.
You never feel good about buying a great bargain. When you buy a great bargain, you're doing it with sweaty palms, youíre leaning against the crowd, engaging in contrary thinking, and you're pretty much alone. - Arnold Van Den Berg, Outstanding Investors Digest.
Tuesday, March 30, 2010 ... more
Face it, we all have our own interpretation of things.
At least once every day I shall look steadily up at the sky and remember that I, a consciousness with a conscience, am on a planet travelling in space with wonderfully mysterious things above and about me. And a scary amount of nothingness.
Friday, March 26, 2010 ... more
The dangers of replacing social trust with actuarial projections.
Thereís a not unreasonable theory that our giant brains have evolved to enable us to lie convincingly. The idea that there are certain tricks we can use to detect people engaging in deception is wrong. Studies carried out in this area show that most experts canít detect liars.
Thursday, March 25, 2010 ... more
At the root of the problem, the reason it isnít being fixed.
Investors unfortunately face enormous pressure ó both real pressure from anxious clients and consultants and imagined pressure emanating from their own adrenaline, ego and fear ó to deliver strong near-term results.
Wednesday, March 24, 2010 ... more
Why do we bustle about so eagerly in so tiny a space?
Of every event in our life we can say only for one moment that it is; for ever after, that it was. Every evening we are poorer by a day. It might, perhaps, make us mad to see how rapidly our short span of time ebbs away Ö
Friday, March 19, 2010 ... more
Why some numbers are much more likely to occur than others Thursday, March 18, 2010
Often the only thing that stands between success and failure. Wednesday, March 17, 2010
Itís less likely to turn out well if you donít know when to get out. Tuesday, March 16, 2010
Why a little moodiness and sadness may not be such a bad thing Friday, March 12, 2010
Do you really think you can beat the pros at their own game? Thursday, March 11, 2010
Maybe the best argument is that they are simply easier to grasp Wednesday, March 10, 2010
A road map for choosing an investment philosophy. Tuesday, March 9, 2010
See what you made me do? Itís gonna take years to pay-off! Friday, March 5, 2010
The best way to get something done is to start doing it. Thursday, March 4, 2010
Investing in a world view: Convergent versus divergent trading Wednesday, March 3, 2010
Do you really think you can beat the pros? Tuesday, March 2, 2010
The origin of a few naaf (not at all fashionable) phrases. Friday, February 26, 2010
The often-ignored problem of mental accounting. Thursday, February 25, 2010
Does being a great investor mean youíll live longer? Wednesday, February 24, 2010
If only I had acted differently. Tuesday, February 23, 2010
Are new emotions coming to the fore? Friday, February 19, 2010
Why your fund manager may be making illogical decisions. Thursday, February 18, 2010
It might be useful to stop investing like a caveman. Wednesday, February 17, 2010
The delusion of knowledge: why more isnít always better. Tuesday, February 16, 2010
'74 Buffett Monday, February 15, 2010
The new addiction to which youíre most likely hooked. Friday, February 12, 2010
Buy and hold may be the least worst option. Thursday, February 11, 2010
With apologies to those who are heartily sick of hearing them. Wednesday, February 10, 2010
Why itís important to know how it can kill you. Tuesday, February 9, 2010
Should you be worrying about their feelings? Friday, February 5, 2010
Fama on what we still donít know and why thereís no bubble. Thursday, February 4, 2010
How the news and lack of news impacts the markets. Wednesday, February 3, 2010
The importance of knowing when to sell Tuesday, February 2, 2010
Thereís nothing quite as surprising as the facts Friday, January 29, 2010
A few words from those who say it canít be done Thursday, January 28, 2010
A little knowledge can be a dangerous thing. Wednesday, January 27, 2010
The trouble with market timing is that itís inevitable. Tuesday, January 26, 2010
An alternative to filling our time with useless activity. Friday, January 22, 2010
Janjuahís predictions for the coming year. Thursday, January 21, 2010
Market risk is easier to embrace than avoid Wednesday, January 20, 2010
How Pig and Bear went into business. Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Not the anser Saturday, January 9, 2010
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